Random Politics & Religion #11

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Random Politics & Religion #11
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 Asura.Kingnobody
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2016-09-22 16:52:00
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Bismarck.Josiahfk said: »
Yeah only someone who likes jazz hands could be so infatuated with human rights.
So, you are saying there is a direct correlation between "jazz hands" and human rights?

Even for you that's a stretch.
 Asura.Kingnobody
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2016-09-22 16:56:50
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Bahamut.Ravael said: »
Asura.Kingnobody said: »
Besides, Rasmussen just released it's newest poll showing Trump +5 and nobody bats an eye.

I've been developing some poll weighting techniques, and this past month in particular has been very intriguing. Unfortunately state polls are harder to gauge due to a lack of data and inconsistency with polling locations, but for a basic perspective what I find interesting is realclearpolitics.com and its current "No Toss Up States" map. Based on poll averages in battleground states, Clinton can only stand to lose three more electoral votes before hitting a tie.

My eyes have been drawn to Colorado and somewhat to Wisconsin and New Hampshire lately. Emerson recently had Trump up 4 in Colorado, but I don't trust them much. What's actually more noteworthy is a Quinnipiac poll that has Clinton/Trump tied there, since Quinnipiac had Clinton up 10 about a month ago.
I understand why realclearpolitics.com has a "No Toss Up States" map, but it changes quicker than Bill's interns.

And even then, I don't think they use polling data for all 4 candidates, just Trump vs. Clinton.

A lot of states turn Red recently though. I wonder if the "deplorables" comment along with the recent terror attacks have something to do with it.
 Valefor.Sehachan
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By Valefor.Sehachan 2016-09-22 16:57:11
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Cerberus.Pleebo said: »
Any particular reason for this unprovoked bitchiness or is this baseline and I haven't been posting enough lately to be used to it?
How do you feel having that special person always waiting for you?
 Asura.Kingnobody
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2016-09-22 17:00:35
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Valefor.Sehachan said: »
Cerberus.Pleebo said: »
Any particular reason for this unprovoked bitchiness or is this baseline and I haven't been posting enough lately to be used to it?
How do you feel having that special person always waiting for you?
Feels good man. I enjoy Pleeb's comments towards me.

Almost like how he specifically posts only responses to me....
 
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By 2016-09-22 17:02:01
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 Bahamut.Ravael
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By Bahamut.Ravael 2016-09-22 17:03:03
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Asura.Kingnobody said: »
Bahamut.Ravael said: »
Asura.Kingnobody said: »
Besides, Rasmussen just released it's newest poll showing Trump +5 and nobody bats an eye.

I've been developing some poll weighting techniques, and this past month in particular has been very intriguing. Unfortunately state polls are harder to gauge due to a lack of data and inconsistency with polling locations, but for a basic perspective what I find interesting is realclearpolitics.com and its current "No Toss Up States" map. Based on poll averages in battleground states, Clinton can only stand to lose three more electoral votes before hitting a tie.

My eyes have been drawn to Colorado and somewhat to Wisconsin and New Hampshire lately. Emerson recently had Trump up 4 in Colorado, but I don't trust them much. What's actually more noteworthy is a Quinnipiac poll that has Clinton/Trump tied there, since Quinnipiac had Clinton up 10 about a month ago.
I understand why realclearpolitics.com has a "No Toss Up States" map, but it changes quicker than Bill's interns.

And even then, I don't think they use polling data for all 4 candidates, just Trump vs. Clinton.

A lot of states turn Red recently though. I wonder if the "deplorables" comment along with the recent terror attacks have something to do with it.

Yeah. Obviously this is all variable, especially before debates and any last-minute surprises/gaffes get factored in, but it's still fun for me to track. Trends are certainly favoring Trump right now (both nationally and in most battleground states), and Nate Silver seems to be getting worried.
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 Asura.Kingnobody
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2016-09-22 17:05:46
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Bismarck.Josiahfk said: »
Asura.Kingnobody said: »
Bismarck.Josiahfk said: »
Yeah only someone who likes jazz hands could be so infatuated with human rights.
So, you are saying there is a direct correlation between "jazz hands" and human rights?

Even for you that's a stretch.
yeah that was the sentiment of your post I was sarcastically echoing, since you gave weight to jazz hands for no reason at all.

Are you half asleep? odd I have to explain something so simple to you.
I'm not the one who invoked "jazz hands"

That was Pleebs. Do try to keep up.
 Caitsith.Zahrah
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By Caitsith.Zahrah 2016-09-22 17:07:27
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Bismarck.Josiahfk said: »
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.

Like being wound too tight or an inability to take criticism is more common or something.

Para ti, buddy.
 
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By 2016-09-22 17:07:30
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 Asura.Kingnobody
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2016-09-22 17:08:01
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Bahamut.Ravael said: »
Asura.Kingnobody said: »
Bahamut.Ravael said: »
Asura.Kingnobody said: »
Besides, Rasmussen just released it's newest poll showing Trump +5 and nobody bats an eye.

I've been developing some poll weighting techniques, and this past month in particular has been very intriguing. Unfortunately state polls are harder to gauge due to a lack of data and inconsistency with polling locations, but for a basic perspective what I find interesting is realclearpolitics.com and its current "No Toss Up States" map. Based on poll averages in battleground states, Clinton can only stand to lose three more electoral votes before hitting a tie.

My eyes have been drawn to Colorado and somewhat to Wisconsin and New Hampshire lately. Emerson recently had Trump up 4 in Colorado, but I don't trust them much. What's actually more noteworthy is a Quinnipiac poll that has Clinton/Trump tied there, since Quinnipiac had Clinton up 10 about a month ago.
I understand why realclearpolitics.com has a "No Toss Up States" map, but it changes quicker than Bill's interns.

And even then, I don't think they use polling data for all 4 candidates, just Trump vs. Clinton.

A lot of states turn Red recently though. I wonder if the "deplorables" comment along with the recent terror attacks have something to do with it.

Yeah. Obviously this is all variable, especially before debates and any last-minute surprises/gaffes get factored in, but it's still fun for me to track. Trends are certainly favoring Trump right now (both nationally and in most battleground states), and Nate Silver seems to be getting worried.
If you read CNN/MSN/Washington Post/NYTimes/LATimes, you will see that they are all worried.

The number of Trump-bashing articles have increased exponentially. And they (the media) still thinks they have actual influence in this election cycle!
 
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By 2016-09-22 17:09:50
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 Asura.Kingnobody
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2016-09-22 17:10:42
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Bismarck.Josiahfk said: »
you were the one who gave that phrase weight, acting like it meant a lot to you.
It was enlightening to see a method to Pleebo's way of thinking.

It showed how he is more influenced by hand waves than actual facts.

I bet he would pee his pants if he went to a David Copperfield show.

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 Cerberus.Pleebo
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By Cerberus.Pleebo 2016-09-22 17:13:39
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Asura.Kingnobody said: »
It was enlightening to see a method to Pleebo's way of thinking.

It showed how he is more influenced by hand waves than actual facts.

I bet he would pee his pants if he went to a David Copperfield show.
Bismarck.Josiahfk said: »
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.
Like sands through an hourglass, these are the Days of Our Lives.
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 Asura.Kingnobody
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2016-09-22 17:14:20
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Still not helping your case Pleebs.
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By 2016-09-22 17:15:30
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 Asura.Kingnobody
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2016-09-22 17:20:37
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Sorry I don't agree with you.

That's the thing about people with different viewpoints, quite often they don't agree.
 
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By 2016-09-22 17:23:13
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 Bismarck.Dracondria
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By Bismarck.Dracondria 2016-09-22 17:23:45
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Cerberus.Pleebo said: »
Asura.Kingnobody said: »
It was enlightening to see a method to Pleebo's way of thinking.

It showed how he is more influenced by hand waves than actual facts.

I bet he would pee his pants if he went to a David Copperfield show.
Bismarck.Josiahfk said: »
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.
Like sands through an hourglass, these are the Days of Our Lives.

You just made me remember the time Marlena was possessed
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 Cerberus.Pleebo
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By Cerberus.Pleebo 2016-09-22 17:32:12
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Bismarck.Dracondria said: »
You just made me remember the time Marlena was possessed
A motherfucking classic! They dragged that ***out forever though.
 
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By 2016-09-22 17:32:55
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 Cerberus.Pleebo
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By Cerberus.Pleebo 2016-09-22 17:33:20
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Remember when Hope was buried alive? Good times.
 Bismarck.Dracondria
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By Bismarck.Dracondria 2016-09-22 17:36:24
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Cerberus.Pleebo said: »
Remember when Hope was buried alive? Good times.

Stefano faking his death x300
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By 2016-09-22 17:37:11
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 Lakshmi.Zerowone
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By Lakshmi.Zerowone 2016-09-22 17:40:07
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Bismarck.Josiahfk said: »
shoot me now, good day lol

My Step mother and grandmother watched the ***out of Days of Our Lives and Guiding Light. You kind of pick up all the major plots over the years.
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 Bahamut.Ravael
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By Bahamut.Ravael 2016-09-22 17:49:13
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Josiahkf said: »
Oh god, you two watched that show??? Lol

I'm mildly ashamed that I know exactly what they're talking about.
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 Bahamut.Ravael
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By Bahamut.Ravael 2016-09-22 17:50:47
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Caitsith.Zahrah said: »
Bismarck.Josiahfk said: »
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.

Like being wound too tight or an inability to take criticism is more common or something.

Para ti, buddy.

Did you catch the last few paragraphs of that article?
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 Caitsith.Zahrah
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By Caitsith.Zahrah 2016-09-22 17:54:08
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Bahamut.Ravael said: »
Caitsith.Zahrah said: »
Bismarck.Josiahfk said: »
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.

Like being wound too tight or an inability to take criticism is more common or something.

Para ti, buddy.

Did you catch the last few paragraphs of that article?

Yeah, I did. Glad to see you did also. You didn't have one pulled over on you this time. :D
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 Caitsith.Zahrah
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By Caitsith.Zahrah 2016-09-22 17:57:47
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Josiahkf said: »
Caitsith.Zahrah said: »
Bismarck.Josiahfk said: »
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.

Like being wound too tight or an inability to take criticism is more common or something.

Para ti, buddy.
I'm sorry Zahrah I'm at work and don't have time to read that whole article but I'm interested in what you think of the post.

No problem.

Your observation? IRL, rest assured, it's not that bad. If someone were to haphazardly vomit political meme humor in a social setting, everyone cringes, rolls their eyes and/or it solicits a, "Shut up. We're having fun here."

It's not as bad as FFXIAH makes it look.
 
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By 2016-09-22 19:30:35
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